Please read the disclaimers in yesterday's blog;  this entry should not be construed as encouragement to do anything illegal, it's just for fun.  I'm going to put tonight's baseball games, Saturday's college football games, and Sunday NFL picks all in this same blog entry, so there won't be room for long explanations.  I have done the homework, just don't have the space to give a detailed analysis for each pick.

            Lost the college football game yesterday after the Kentucky quarterback fumbled twice and both were recovered by the SC defense and returned for touchdowns.  Tough to predict something flukey like that.  On the bright side, both of the baseball picks won easily and the series pick on the Indians is off to a good start.  Now on to the picks:

College Football

Season record:  0-1, -110 

(using hypothetical bet of 100 on each game to keep the math easy)

Wisconsin +2.5

            Badger offense is nicely balanced (over 200 yds/game both rushing and passing), but Illinois can't defend the pass.  Illinois also can't throw, and a talented defense like Wisconsin will load up against the run and shut them down.  Line also looks like the bookies are begging for Illinois money.

UAB +18.5

            I think me and 10 third-graders could stay within 20 points of Mississippi State.  UAB is just slightly better than me and the third-graders, so this looks like a few too many points.

Wyoming -3

            Wyoming has a really nice home-field advantage up in the altitude and thin air of Laramie.  They blew out UVA at home and played a decent game in a loss on the blue turf at Boise State.  TCU's performance so far doesn't give confidence that they can get a road win here.

Buffalo +4.5  (Follow the Money System play)

            I'll explain the systems later if they work out.

Florida +7.5

            You could have gotten this earlier in the week +9 before the professionals got all their money in on Florida.  Should be a close game.

NFL

Season record:  0-0

            In the NFL, where there are only 32 teams and they only play once a week, the information is too perfect and the linesmakers always have more information than you do, so it's tough to beat the bookies trying use traditional handicapping stats and matchups.  The boys in Vegas get rich off of NFL betting, because almost everybody loses.  I'm trying to figure out some angles to beat them, and I'm going to use this blog to keep track of my progress.  Three system plays for this Sunday:

Redskins -3.5  (Beauty Rest System)

Seahawks +6  (Road Warrior System)

Buccaneers +10  (Road Warrior System)

MLB Playoffs

Season record:  2-0, +251

            Baseball and college basketball are where a person who lives in a jurisdiction where sports betting is legal can really make their money.  When there are games every day, the bookies can't always keep up and mistakes are made.  Hoping to keep it going Friday night after yesterday's success:

Indians (Carmona) +114

            Better pitcher, at home, hot bats, underdog price.  Good enough for me.

Angels (Escobar) +139

            Like the Rockies/Phillies game yesterday, this game looks like it could go either way, yet one team is getting a huge number.  This pick could win less than 50% of the time and you will still come out ahead.  I don't think the Red Sox will put up big numbers against Escobar, so this line is too tempting to pass up.